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PTC INC. (PTC) Q2 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • PTC delivered solid Q2 FY24 results with ARR growth and cash flow ahead of guidance; revenue of $603.1M and non-GAAP EPS of $1.46 both exceeded company guidance ranges, reflecting strong execution and subscription model resilience .
  • Management narrowed FY24 constant currency ARR guidance to $2.20–$2.24B (11–13% growth) and maintained FY24 FCF at ~$725M; FY24 revenue range trimmed to $2.27–$2.34B and EPS updated to $2.52–$3.22, including FX impact .
  • Mid-term target reset: ARR growth guided to low double-digits (from prior mid-teens), while cash flow targets reiterated, underpinned by operating discipline and resource reallocation toward PLM, ALM, SLM, CAD and SaaS priorities .
  • Stock reaction catalysts: clear beat vs company guidance, confident FCF reiteration/deleveraging (2.3x net leverage), and a credible capital allocation framework despite a sluggish selling environment; potential overhang from lower mid-term ARR growth target and ASC 606 variability on revenue/EPS .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Outperformance vs internal guidance: Q2 revenue $603.1M beat $560–$590M; non-GAAP EPS $1.46 beat $1.10–$1.30; OCF $251M and FCF $247M exceeded $245M/$240M guidance, highlighting execution and model stability .
  • Strong profitability expansion YoY: GAAP operating margin 29.8% (+~720 bps YoY) and non-GAAP operating margin 42.1% (+~390 bps YoY), aided by mix and operating discipline .
  • Strategic focus and product momentum: management rebalanced R&D away from standalone IoT/AR toward core (PLM/Windchill, ALM/Codebeamer, SLM/ServiceMax) and emphasized digital thread integrations, citing customer wins and cross-sell opportunities .

What Went Wrong

  • Macro/selling environment remains sluggish, particularly for large digital transformation deals, prolonging sales cycles and impacting in-quarter ARR recognition patterns under ASC 606 .
  • Guidance narrowed with lower high end, reflecting contract renegotiations that reduced near-term deferred ARR recognition and FX pressure on revenue/EPS .
  • Elevated interest expense and deleveraging priority continue to delay share repurchases; management cited ~7% revolver rate as rationale for prioritizing debt paydown over buybacks in FY24 .

Financial Results

Income Statement Summary (GAAP and Non-GAAP)

MetricQ2 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
Revenue ($M)$542.2 $550.2 $603.1
GAAP Diluted EPS$0.53 $0.55 $0.95
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS$1.16 $1.11 $1.46
GAAP Operating Margin22.6% 21.6% 29.8%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin38.2% 36.2% 42.1%

Revenue Mix

Revenue Mix ($M)Q2 2023Q1 2024Q2 2024
License (incl. subscription license allocation)$197.0 $184.0 $234.3
Support & Cloud Services$304.1 $330.5 $336.4
Professional Services$41.1 $35.7 $32.3
Total Revenue$542.2 $550.2 $603.1

KPIs and Balance Sheet

KPI / Balance SheetQ2 2023Q2 2024
ARR as reported ($B)$1.882 $2.088
Constant Currency ARR ($B)$1.850 $2.075
Operating Cash Flow ($M)$211 $251
Free Cash Flow ($M)$207 $247
Cash & Equivalents ($M)$320 $249
Gross Debt ($M)$2,545 (incl. FY23 deferred acquisition) $2,011
Debt/EBITDA (company-stated)2.3x

Results vs Company Guidance (Q2 FY24)

MetricCompany Guidance (Q2 FY24)Actual Q2 FY24Result
Revenue ($M)$560–$590 $603.1 Beat
GAAP EPS$0.57–$0.80 $0.95 Beat
Non-GAAP EPS$1.10–$1.30 $1.46 Beat
Operating Cash Flow ($M)~ $245 $251 Beat
Free Cash Flow ($M)~ $240 $247 Beat
Constant Currency ARR ($B)$2.050–$2.065 $2.075 Beat

Note: Wall Street consensus from S&P Global was unavailable for this request (API limit), so we benchmarked against company guidance.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Constant Currency ARR ($B)FY24$2.190–$2.250 $2.200–$2.240 Narrowed; low end +$10M, high end -$10M
Revenue ($B)FY24$2.270–$2.360 $2.270–$2.340 High end -$20M (FX, composition)
GAAP EPSFY24$2.42–$3.32 $2.52–$3.22 Range shifted (mix and FX)
Non-GAAP EPSFY24$4.50–$5.20 $4.60–$5.10 Narrowed/shifted
Operating Cash Flow ($M)FY24~ $745 ~ $745 Maintained
Free Cash Flow ($M)FY24~ $725 ~ $725 Maintained
Constant Currency ARR ($B)Q3’24$2.115–$2.130 New
Revenue ($M)Q3’24$525–$540 New
GAAP EPSQ3’24$0.41–$0.54 New
Non-GAAP EPSQ3’24$0.90–$1.00 New
OCF / FCF ($M)Q3’24~ $225 / ~ $220 New

Drivers called out: renegotiated select customer contracts reducing second-half deferred ARR by ~$10M, and FX pressure on revenue/EPS; cash flow unchanged given collection predictability .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4’23/Q1’24 (Prior Mentions)Q2’24 (Current)Trend
Macro/Selling EnvironmentSluggish environment; longer approvals and close rates persisting .Still sluggish; biggest impact on large deals/close rates; no improvement yet .Flat/Challenged
Mid-term ARR TargetTargeted mid-teens growth (Q4’23 framework) .Reset to low double-digits; cash flow targets reiterated .More conservative ARR; CF intact
Product Focus (R&D)Emphasis on PLM/ALM/SLM/CAD; SaaS a decade-long journey .Rebalance away from new standalone IoT/AR toward PLM/ALM/SLM; deepen integrations; SaaS “Plus” continues .Focus sharpened
Digital Thread/IntegrationsValue of Windchill-ALM-CAD integration; cross-sell vision .Continued examples; tighter Windchill-Codebeamer-ServiceMax- Creo integrations .Strengthening
ALM (Codebeamer)Strong momentum; ALM portfolio ~to pass $100M ARR in FY24 .Highlighted as growth driver; customer expansions; regulated verticals .Positive
SLM (ServiceMax)Cross-sell ramping; alignment with PTC sellers .Wins in regulated/high-value assets; aftermarket revenue focus .Building
Capital AllocationPause buybacks; deleveraging to ~$1.7B gross debt target .2.3x leverage; prioritize debt reduction; revisit buybacks in FY25 .Deleveraging steady
ASC 606 VariabilityRevenue/EPS less predictive; focus on ARR/FCF .Reiterated; guidance framed accordingly .Ongoing
AIPractical copilots under development; early beta for service; not displacing budgets .AI not constraining IT budgets; foundation first (PLM/ALM/SLM/CAD) .Constructive/Pragmatic

Management Commentary

  • “We are updating our mid-term ARR targets to low double-digit ARR growth… we are reiterating our mid-term cash flow targets…” – CEO Neil Barua .
  • “We are… rebalancing resources primarily in R&D, away from creating new stand-alone IoT and AR applications to instead support PLM, ALM and SLM growth.” – CEO Neil Barua .
  • “At the end of Q2, our constant currency ARR was $2.075 billion, up 12% year-over-year and above our guidance range… operating cash flow of $251 million and free cash flow of $247 million, both up 19%.” – CFO Kristian Talvitie .
  • “We continue to rapidly de-lever… debt to EBITDA ratio was 2.3x at the end of Q2’24.” – CFO Kristian Talvitie .
  • “AI is not taking away from IT prioritization… most customers realize that a digital foundation is necessary before you do anything practical on AI at scale.” – CEO Neil Barua .

Q&A Highlights

  • Mid-term ARR reset: Management framed “low double-digits” as consistent with recent 5-year average and a cleaner way to reflect macro uncertainty; cash flow confidence unchanged .
  • Capital allocation: No near-term buybacks given ~$2B+ debt and ~7% revolver rate; reassess in FY25; tuck-in M&A only if highly strategic .
  • Close rates and pipeline: Large deals remain the pressure point; pipeline healthy but close rates unchanged; deferred ARR split roughly evenly between Q3/Q4 .
  • AI investment: Early copilots and service GenAI beta; not seen as crowding out budgets; foundational systems (PLM/ALM/CAD/SLM) prioritized first .
  • Channel/go-to-market: Revitalizing channel enablement and alignment to growth priorities; flattening org (eliminating COO/CRO roles) to drive effectiveness .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q2 FY24 revenue and EPS was unavailable due to provider request limits at the time of this analysis; as a result, comparisons to consensus cannot be presented for this quarter. We benchmarked results vs company guidance instead .
  • Company framing emphasizes ARR and FCF as primary performance metrics due to ASC 606 variability in revenue/EPS recognition .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Durable model: ARR and FCF beat internal guidance, margins expanded sharply YoY, and deleveraging is ahead of plan—supporting cash flow targets despite macro headwinds .
  • Strategic focus: Resource rebalancing toward core (PLM/ALM/SLM/CAD) and digital thread integrations should sustain mid-teens-like operating leverage even as mid-term ARR targets reset to low double-digits .
  • Execution risk: Sluggish selling environment and large-deal close rates keep variability in quarterly ARR timing; revenue/EPS remain volatile under ASC 606—anchor on ARR/FCF .
  • Upside vectors: Codebeamer momentum (regulated/complex software products) and ServiceMax cross-sell into PTC’s installed base, plus continued CAD/Creo strength and early SaaS “Plus” migrations .
  • Capital allocation: Expect continued debt reduction in FY24; share repurchases likely resume in FY25 subject to leverage/market conditions .
  • FX and contract dynamics: Guidance adjustments reflect FX and selective contract renegotiations affecting deferred ARR recognition; cash flow unchanged given collections predictability .
  • Near-term setup: Q3 guidance implies continued low double-digit CC ARR growth and ~$220M FCF; watch large-deal conversions, Codebeamer/ServiceMax pipeline, and any improvement in close rates .

Additional Relevant Press Releases (Q2 timeframe)

  • Trax and PTC partnership to integrate Trax with Servigistics, aiming to optimize aviation service supply chains—a supporting proof point for SLM strategy and AI/ML-enabled service parts optimization .

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